Cut 1-25bps · Will the South African Reserve Bank
Cut 1-25bps is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 5 inside Will the South African Reserve Bank.
Price history
1¢ current
−15¢Contract brief
If the South African Reserve Bank takes the action of Cut 1-25bps at the July 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Cut 1-25bps
Rank
#4 of 5
Leader
Hike 1-25bps 50¢
Range
1¢-50¢
Family volume
$17
Identifier
KXCBDSA-26JUL23-C25
Jun 23, 2026, 7:47 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
3¢
Spread
2¢
Reported volume
$371
Family rank
#4 of 5
5 outcomes · Will the South African Reserve Bank
Closes
Jul 23, 2026
Family volume
$17
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 3¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the South African Reserve Bank takes the action of Cut 1-25bps at the July 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 23, 2026
Identifier
KXCBDSA-26JUL23-C25
Event family
Will the South African Reserve Bank.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$17
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Hike 1-25bps 50¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.