Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Kenneth J. Jouppi in Jouppi v. Alaska: Before Aug 1, 2028 · KXSCOTUSCASE-JOUALA28
Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Kenneth J. Jouppi in Jouppi v. Alaska: Before Aug 1, 2028 is priced at 80¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 76¢ bid, 84¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
80¢ current
Contract brief
If the Supreme Court, in Jouppi v. Alaska, rules courts must consider the gravity of the specific defendant’s wrongdoing, rather than evaluating the underlying offense purely in the abstract, when applying the Excessive Fines Clause, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Kenneth J. Jouppi in Jouppi v. Alaska: Before Aug 1, 2028
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXSCOTUSCASE-JOUALA28
Jul 24, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 23m ago
Implied probability
Bid
76¢
Ask
84¢
Spread
8¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Aug 1, 2028
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
76 / 84¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Supreme Court, in Jouppi v. Alaska, rules courts must consider the gravity of the specific defendant’s wrongdoing, rather than evaluating the underlying offense purely in the abstract, when applying the Excessive Fines Clause, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 1, 2028
Identifier
KXSCOTUSCASE-JOUALA28
Event family
KXSCOTUSCASE-JOUALA28.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Kenneth J. Jouppi in Jouppi v. Alaska: Before Aug 1, 2028 76¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
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