Will the Total Public Debt on July 31, 2026 be above 39.84T
Will the Total Public Debt on July 31, 2026 be above 39.84T is priced at 50¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 99¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
50¢ current
Contract brief
If the Total Public Debt on Jul 31, 2026 is above 39.84T, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will the Total Public Debt on July 31, 2026 be above 39.84T
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXTRUFPDEBT-26JUL31-T39.84
Jul 23, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
99¢
Spread
99¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Aug 1, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 99¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Total Public Debt on Jul 31, 2026 is above 39.84T, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 1, 2026
Identifier
KXTRUFPDEBT-26JUL31-T39.84
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will the Total Public Debt on July 31, 2026 be above 39.84T 50¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.