Total vote count for all participants in California Governor General Election above 12000000
Above 12M is priced at 60¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 60¢ bid, 66¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 5 inside Will the total vote count for all participants in California Governor General Election be above 1.
Price history
60¢ current
+32¢Contract brief
If the total vote count for all participants in California Governor General Election is above 12000000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 12M
Rank
#3 of 5
Leader
Above 10.9M 73¢
Range
16¢-73¢
Family volume
$15
Identifier
KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-CAGOV-12000000
Jun 24, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 27m ago
Implied probability
Bid
60¢
Ask
66¢
Spread
6¢
24h volume
$15
Family rank
#3 of 5
5 outcomes · Will the total vote count for all participants in California Governor General Election be above 1
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$15
Orderbook snapshot
60 / 66¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the total vote count for all participants in California Governor General Election is above 12000000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-CAGOV-12000000
Event family
Will the total vote count for all participants in California Governor General Election be above 1.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$15
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Above 10.9M 73¢
Current share
100%
Above 10.9M
kalshi · KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-CAGOV-10900000
Above 11.5M
kalshi · KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-CAGOV-11500000
Above 12M
kalshi · KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-CAGOV-12000000
Above 12.6M
kalshi · KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-CAGOV-12600000
Above 13.1M
kalshi · KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-CAGOV-13100000
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.