Total vote count for all participants in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary above 120000
Above 120k is priced at 8¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 5 inside Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary be above.
Price history
8¢ current
−8¢Contract brief
If the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary is above 120000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 120k
Rank
#5 of 5
Leader
Above 80k 91¢
Range
3¢-91¢
Family volume
$7K
Identifier
KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-NY12D26-120000
Jun 23, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
6¢
Ask
13¢
Spread
7¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#5 of 5
5 outcomes · Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary be above
Closes
Jun 23, 2027
Family volume
$7K
Orderbook snapshot
6 / 13¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary is above 120000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 23, 2027
Identifier
KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-NY12D26-120000
Event family
Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 NY-12 Democratic primary be above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$7K
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Above 80k 91¢
Current share
33%
Above 80k
kalshi · KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-NY12D26-80000
Above 90k
kalshi · KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-NY12D26-90000
Above 100k
kalshi · KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-NY12D26-100000
Above 110k
kalshi · KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-NY12D26-110000
Above 120k
kalshi · KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-NY12D26-120000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.477
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.