SimpleFunctions

Total vote count for all participants in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary above 60000

Above 60k is priced at 68¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 75¢ bid, 76¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 6 inside Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary be above.

Price history

68¢ current

+65¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Jun 22, 2026Jun 23, 2026

Contract brief

If the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary is above 60000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 60k

Rank

#1 of 6

Leader

Above 60k 74¢

Range

10¢-74¢

Family volume

$2K

Identifier

KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-NY13D26-60000

Jun 23, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 22m ago

Implied probability

68¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 23, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 22m ago

Bid

75¢

Ask

76¢

Spread

24h volume

$570

Family rank

#1 of 6

6 outcomes · Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary be above

Closes

Jun 23, 2027

Family volume

$2K

Orderbook snapshot

75 / 76¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
75¢13
72¢115
70¢200
69¢30
56¢200
AskSize
76¢703
79¢100
80¢200
88¢8
92¢27

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary is above 60000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 23, 2027

Identifier

KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-NY13D26-60000

SF Signal
SF Index
150.05
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary be above.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$2K

Outcomes

6

Highest price

Above 60k 74¢

Current share

28%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

33.3%

IY (No)

300.1%

Adj IY

150%

CRI

3

Overround

1.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

33.3%
300.1%
Adj IY
150%
3
Overround
1.2%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.