SimpleFunctions

Total vote count for all participants in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary above 75000

Above 75k is priced at 19¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 21¢ bid, 22¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 6 inside Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary be above.

Price history

19¢ current

29¢
25¢50¢
Jun 22, 2026Jun 23, 2026

Contract brief

If the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary is above 75000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 75k

Rank

#4 of 6

Leader

Above 60k 74¢

Range

10¢-74¢

Family volume

$2K

Identifier

KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-NY13D26-75000

Jun 23, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 23m ago

Implied probability

19¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 23, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 23m ago

Bid

21¢

Ask

22¢

Spread

24h volume

$722

Family rank

#4 of 6

6 outcomes · Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary be above

Closes

Jun 23, 2027

Family volume

$2K

Orderbook snapshot

21 / 22¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.2K
21¢304
19¢997
3¢91
2¢53
AskSize
22¢98
31¢851
32¢200
34¢115
35¢500

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary is above 75000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 23, 2027

Identifier

KXPRIMARYTURNOUT-NY13D26-75000

SF Signal
SF Index
376.30
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary be above.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$2K

Outcomes

6

Highest price

Above 60k 74¢

Current share

36%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

376.3%

IY (No)

26.6%

Adj IY

376%

CRI

4

RV

2593%

VR

26.92

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

376.3%
26.6%
Adj IY
376%
4
RV
2593%
VR
26.92
IAR
0.7/h
Overround
1.2%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.