Before 2029 · KXFTA-29
Before 2029 is priced at 43¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 42¢ bid, 48¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
43¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If a free trade agreement with any country has become law, either through Senate ratification and Presidential approval or through Congressional-Executive Agreement and the signature of the President (or at least, signing the implementing legislation) after Issuance before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before 2029
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXFTA-29
Jul 21, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
42¢
Ask
48¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$24K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jan 20, 2029
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
42 / 48¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If a free trade agreement with any country has become law, either through Senate ratification and Presidential approval or through Congressional-Executive Agreement and the signature of the President (or at least, signing the implementing legislation) after Issuance before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 20, 2029
Identifier
KXFTA-29
Event family
KXFTA-29.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Before 2029 42¢
Current share
—
Before 2029
kalshi · KXFTA-29
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.