Before Oct 1, 2026 · Will Trump officially rename AI before
Before Oct 1, 2026 is priced at 28¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 29¢ bid, 32¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside Will Trump officially rename AI before.
Price history
28¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
If Donald Trump formally adopts or directs adoption of a replacement name for Artificial Intelligence or AI for United States official use through a personally signed presidential action after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before Oct 1, 2026
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Before Nov 1, 2026 44¢
Range
27¢-44¢
Family volume
$19K
Identifier
KXTRUMPAIRENAME-26SEP-OCT01
Sep 23, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 33m ago
Implied probability
Bid
29¢
Ask
32¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$12K
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · Will Trump officially rename AI before
Closes
Oct 1, 2026
Family volume
$19K
Orderbook snapshot
29 / 32¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Donald Trump formally adopts or directs adoption of a replacement name for Artificial Intelligence or AI for United States official use through a personally signed presidential action after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 1, 2026
Identifier
KXTRUMPAIRENAME-26SEP-OCT01
Event family
Will Trump officially rename AI before.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$19K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Before Nov 1, 2026 44¢
Current share
59%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.