Amazon / AMZN · Will Trump say "
Amazon / AMZN is priced at 76¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 82¢ bid, 83¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 16 inside Will Trump say ".
Price history
76¢ current
+73¢Contract brief
If Amazon / AMZN, or a plural or possessive form of Amazon / AMZN, is stated by Donald Trump before Sep 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Amazon / AMZN
Rank
#10 of 16
Leader
Boeing 99¢
Range
6¢-99¢
Family volume
$8K
Identifier
KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26SEP01-AMAZ
Aug 9, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 11m ago
Implied probability
Bid
82¢
Ask
83¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$3K
Family rank
#10 of 16
16 outcomes · Will Trump say "
Closes
Sep 1, 2026
Family volume
$8K
Orderbook snapshot
82 / 83¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Amazon / AMZN, or a plural or possessive form of Amazon / AMZN, is stated by Donald Trump before Sep 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 1, 2026
Identifier
KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26SEP01-AMAZ
Event family
Will Trump say ".
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$8K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Boeing 99¢
Current share
0%
Boeing
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26SEP01-BOEI
ExxonMobil / XOM
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26SEP01-EXXO
Dell
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26SEP01-DELL
Apple / AAPL
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26SEP01-AAPL
General Motors / GM
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26SEP01-GENE
Intel / INTC
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26SEP01-INTC
Micron / MU
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26SEP01-MU
Toyota
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26SEP01-TOYO
New York Times / NYT
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26SEP01-NEW
Amazon / AMZN
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26SEP01-AMAZ
Meta
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26SEP01-META
Microsoft / MSFT
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26SEP01-MICR
SpaceX / SPCX
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26SEP01-SPCX
ChatGPT / OpenAI
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26SEP01-CHAT
TSMC / TSM
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26SEP01-TSM
Rigetti / RGTI
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26SEP01-RGTI
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.