Anthropic / Claude · Will Trump say "
Anthropic / Claude is priced at 65¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 64¢ bid, 65¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside Will Trump say ".
Price history
65¢ current
+51¢Contract brief
If Anthropic / Claude, or a plural or possessive form of Anthropic / Claude, is stated by Donald Trump before Aug 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Anthropic / Claude
Rank
#5 of 16
Leader
CNN 95¢
Range
5¢-95¢
Family volume
$6K
Identifier
KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26AUG01-ANTH
Jul 8, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 2m ago
Implied probability
Bid
64¢
Ask
65¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$225
Family rank
#5 of 16
16 outcomes · Will Trump say "
Closes
Aug 1, 2026
Family volume
$6K
Orderbook snapshot
64 / 65¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Anthropic / Claude, or a plural or possessive form of Anthropic / Claude, is stated by Donald Trump before Aug 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 1, 2026
Identifier
KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26AUG01-ANTH
Event family
Will Trump say ".
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$6K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
CNN 95¢
Current share
4%
CNN
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26AUG01-CNN
Apple / AAPL
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26AUG01-AAPL
ChatGPT / OpenAI
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26AUG01-CHAT
Deere / DE
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26AUG01-DE
Anthropic / Claude
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26AUG01-ANTH
Google / GOOG / GOOGL
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26AUG01-GOOG
SpaceX / SPCX
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26AUG01-SPCX
General Motors / GM
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26AUG01-GENE
Microsoft / MSFT
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26AUG01-MICR
Pfizer / PFE
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26AUG01-PFE
ExxonMobil / XOM
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26AUG01-EXXO
Fox News
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26AUG01-FOX
Tesla / TSLA
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26AUG01-TSLA
DoorDash / DASH
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26AUG01-DOOR
Airbnb / ABNB
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26AUG01-ABNB
Rigetti / RGTI
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26AUG01-RGTI
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
political
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.