Washington win at least 75 games this season
75+ wins is priced at 69¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 68¢ bid, 69¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 6 inside Will Washington win at least.
Price history
69¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If Washington has 75+ wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
75+ wins
Rank
#4 of 6
Leader
65+ wins 94¢
Range
1¢-94¢
Family volume
$426
Identifier
KXMLBWINS-WSH-26-T75
Aug 10, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 13m ago
Implied probability
Bid
68¢
Ask
69¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$426
Family rank
#4 of 6
6 outcomes · Will Washington win at least
Closes
Nov 8, 2026
Family volume
$426
Orderbook snapshot
68 / 69¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Washington has 75+ wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 8, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBWINS-WSH-26-T75
Event family
Will Washington win at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$426
Outcomes
6
Highest price
65+ wins 94¢
Current share
100%
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.