Will what’s wrong with me be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: what’s wrong with me · KXTOPSONG-26JUL04
Will what’s wrong with me be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: what’s wrong with me is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside KXTOPSONG-26JUL04.
Price history
1¢ current
Contract brief
If what’s wrong with me is #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jul 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will what’s wrong with me be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: what’s wrong with me
Rank
#3 of 16
Leader
Will Choosin' Texas be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: Choosin' Texas 89¢
Range
1¢-89¢
Family volume
$11K
Identifier
KXTOPSONG-26JUL04-WHA
Jun 27, 2026, 12:06 AM UTC · 6m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$112
Family rank
#3 of 16
16 outcomes · KXTOPSONG-26JUL04
Closes
Jun 29, 2026
Family volume
$11K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If what’s wrong with me is #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jul 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 29, 2026
Identifier
KXTOPSONG-26JUL04-WHA
Event family
KXTOPSONG-26JUL04.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$11K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Will Choosin' Texas be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: Choosin' Texas 89¢
Current share
0%
Will Choosin' Texas be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: Choosin' Texas
kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL04-CHO
Will I Knew It, I Knew You be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: I Knew It, I Knew You
kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL04-IKN
Will begged be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: begged
kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL04-BEG
Will stupid song be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: stupid song
kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL04-STU
Will my way be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: my way
kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL04-MYW
Will the cure be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: the cure
kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL04-THE
Will BE HER be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: BE HER
kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL04-BEH
Will what’s wrong with me be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: what’s wrong with me
kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL04-WHA
Will Billie Jean be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: Billie Jean
kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL04-BIL
Will Boston be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: Boston
kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL04-BOS
Will drop dead be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: drop dead
kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL04-DRO
Will expectations be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: expectations
kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL04-EXP
Will Folded be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: Folded
kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL04-FOL
Will hate that i made you love me be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: hate that i made you love me
kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL04-HAT
Will HOMEWRECKER be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: HOMEWRECKER
kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL04-HOM
Will honeybee be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Jul 4, 2026: honeybee
kalshi · KXTOPSONG-26JUL04-HON
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.