SimpleFunctions

Will Anderson Jr · KXNFLDPOTY-27

Will Anderson Jr. is priced at 12¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside KXNFLDPOTY-27.

Price history

12¢ current

+3¢
10¢
May 26, 2026Jun 21, 2026

Contract brief

If Will Anderson Jr. wins the Pro Football AP Defensive Player Of The Year in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Will Anderson Jr.

Rank

#2 of 16

Leader

Myles Garrett 21¢

Range

1¢-21¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

KXNFLDPOTY-27-WAND

Jun 24, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 2m ago

Implied probability

12¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 24, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 2m ago

Bid

11¢

Ask

12¢

Spread

24h volume

$31

Family rank

#2 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLDPOTY-27

Closes

Feb 8, 2028

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

11 / 12¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
11¢5
10¢52
9¢178
8¢123
7¢100
AskSize
12¢2.8K
13¢500
14¢2.4K
15¢5.6K
16¢6.1K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Will Anderson Jr. wins the Pro Football AP Defensive Player Of The Year in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 8, 2028

Identifier

KXNFLDPOTY-27-WAND

SF Signal
SF Index
225.89
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

496.9%

IY (No)

7.6%

Adj IY

226%

CRI

8

Overround

-0.2%

LAS

0.09

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

496.9%
7.6%
Adj IY
226%
8
Overround
-0.2%
LAS
0.09

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.