SimpleFunctions
KalshiOct 3, 2026147 days left

Will Will Smith record 20+ home runs during 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?

This contract is priced at 34¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 35¢ bid, 39¢ ask, 4¢ spread.

Implied probability

34¢
$2K volume
$478 liquidity
1229% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$144

Best sibling

Jac Caglianone 25¢

Ticker

KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-WSMITH16

Market snapshot

Will Smith in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Will Smith record 20+ home runs during 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?. The displayed quote is 34¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $64. In the KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20 family, this outcome ranks #11 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC.

Outcome

Will Smith

Family rank

#11 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

34¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Oct 3, 2026

24h volume

$64

Family context

16 outcomes · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20

Quote range

3¢-94¢

Family leader

Elly De La Cruz 94¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC · 9m ago

Venue identifier: KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-WSMITH16. Family volume: $144.

Price history

34¢ current

17¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

35 / 39¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
100¢5.0K
35¢2
34¢80
30¢500
10¢54
AskSize
39¢5
40¢140
44¢57
48¢500
73¢50

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Will Smith records 20+ home runs across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 3, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-WSMITH16

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

459.9%

IY (No)

133.3%

Adj IY

204%

CRI

2

Overround

18.3%

LAS

0.11

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

459.9%
133.3%
Adj IY
204%
2
Overround
18.3%
LAS
0.11

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