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Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 above 176 bu/acre

Above 176 bu/acre is priced at 83¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 84¢ bid, 85¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 9 inside Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 1.

Price history

83¢ current

+8¢
80¢
Aug 21, 2026Aug 23, 2026

Contract brief

If USDA NASS reports that Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 is above 176 bu/acre, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 176 bu/acre

Rank

#4 of 9

Leader

Above 164 bu/acre 97¢

Range

4¢-97¢

Family volume

$2K

Identifier

KXWICORNYIELD-27JAN31-T176

Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 3m ago

Implied probability

83¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 3m ago

Bid

84¢

Ask

85¢

Spread

24h volume

$875

Family rank

#4 of 9

9 outcomes · Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 1

Closes

Jan 31, 2027

Family volume

$2K

Orderbook snapshot

84 / 85¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
84¢1.3K
83¢921
78¢200
60¢20
40¢100
AskSize
85¢2.0K
88¢150
97¢13
98¢111
99¢2.1K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If USDA NASS reports that Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 is above 176 bu/acre, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 31, 2027

Identifier

KXWICORNYIELD-27JAN31-T176

SF Signal
SF Index
596.75
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

43.3%

IY (No)

1193.5%

Adj IY

597%

CRI

5

Overround

4.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

43.3%
1193.5%
Adj IY
597%
5
Overround
4.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.