Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 above 196 bu/acre
Above 196 bu/acre is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 5¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 9 inside Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 1.
Price history
4¢ current
+2¢Contract brief
If USDA NASS reports that Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 is above 196 bu/acre, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 196 bu/acre
Rank
#9 of 9
Leader
Above 164 bu/acre 97¢
Range
4¢-97¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXWICORNYIELD-27JAN31-T196
Aug 23, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 11m ago
Implied probability
Bid
4¢
Ask
5¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$2K
Family rank
#9 of 9
9 outcomes · Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 1
Closes
Jan 31, 2027
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
4 / 5¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If USDA NASS reports that Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 is above 196 bu/acre, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 31, 2027
Identifier
KXWICORNYIELD-27JAN31-T196
Event family
Will Wisconsin's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 be above 1.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Above 164 bu/acre 97¢
Current share
0%
Above 164 bu/acre
kalshi · KXWICORNYIELD-27JAN31-T164
Above 168 bu/acre
kalshi · KXWICORNYIELD-27JAN31-T168
Above 172 bu/acre
kalshi · KXWICORNYIELD-27JAN31-T172
Above 176 bu/acre
kalshi · KXWICORNYIELD-27JAN31-T176
Above 180 bu/acre
kalshi · KXWICORNYIELD-27JAN31-T180
Above 184 bu/acre
kalshi · KXWICORNYIELD-27JAN31-T184
Above 188 bu/acre
kalshi · KXWICORNYIELD-27JAN31-T188
Above 192 bu/acre
kalshi · KXWICORNYIELD-27JAN31-T192
Above 196 bu/acre
kalshi · KXWICORNYIELD-27JAN31-T196
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.