Will ARI Cardinals D/ST be the #1 ranked fantasy DST in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season

The yield curve presents a flat structure across all 240 constituent markets, with every contract sharing an identical 120-day tenor. Within this single tenor bucket, YES probabilities display substantial dispersion, ranging from 1.0% to 66.0%, indicating significant disagreement about which specific outcome will occur rather than uncertainty about timing. The New England market (NE-DST) commands the highest probability at 66.0%, followed distantly by quarterback Jalen Allen at 42.0%, while multiple markets cluster at the 1.0% floor, including Arizona, Buffalo, and several quarterback contracts. The cheapest YES probabilities are concentrated among low-probability individual player and team outcomes, all priced identically at 1.0%. The flat tenor structure reveals that the market has collapsed all uncertainty into a single resolution window 120 days forward, with no differentiation across time horizons. This suggests either that the event family (likely NFL season leadership or statistical achievement) has a fixed, well-defined endpoint, or that traders perceive negligible probability of resolution occurring at materially different times. The extreme concentration of probability mass on New England and Jalen Allen, combined with the long tail of 1-5% probabilities across most other outcomes, indicates the market views this as a highly concentrated outcome space where one or two scenarios dominate. The minimal trading volume across most contracts (vol24h=$0) reinforces that price discovery has largely stabilized around these consensus probabilities.