Will the Arizona pro football team win at least 1 games this season

The yield curve presents a flat structure across all 207-day tenors, with YES probabilities clustering heavily in the 80-92% range for favorites and dispersing widely across lower-probability outcomes. Within this single tenor bucket, the cheapest YES probabilities appear in the tail markets: KXNFLWINS-27ARI-9 at 1.0%, KXNFLWINS-27BUF-15 at 1.0%, and KXNFLWINS-27ARI-7 and KXNFLWINS-27BUF-14 both at 2.0%. The distribution is notably bimodal, with strong clustering around 85% for several team-specific markets (particularly BAL, BUF, CAR, and ATL favorites) and a secondary cluster of low-probability outcomes below 25%. This suggests the market is pricing a concentrated set of likely outcomes rather than displaying traditional term-structure dynamics. The flatness of the curve—with all markets sharing identical 207-day tenors—indicates the market is not expressing differentiated timing expectations but rather a snapshot view of relative probabilities for distinct outcomes within a single event window. The high concentration of 85%+ probabilities across multiple team markets suggests strong consensus around a narrow set of outcomes, while the extreme tail probabilities (1-2%) reflect genuine uncertainty about less-favored scenarios. The volume concentration in mid-probability markets like BAL-13 ($901.46) and BAL-5 ($512.32) reveals active price discovery around marginal outcomes, where traders are most uncertain. This structure implies the market views the event resolution as binary or near-binary within the 207-day window, with little speculation about timing variation.