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Las Vegas pro football team win at least 5 games this season

5+ wins is priced at 72¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 72¢ bid, 78¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 15 inside Will the Las Vegas pro football team win at least.

Price history

72¢ current

+4¢
70¢80¢
May 25, 2026Jun 22, 2026

Contract brief

If the Las Vegas Pro Football team wins at least 5 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

5+ wins

Rank

#5 of 15

Leader

1+ wins 88¢

Range

1¢-88¢

Family volume

$337

Identifier

KXNFLWINS-27LV-5

Jun 24, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 16m ago

Implied probability

72¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 24, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 16m ago

Bid

72¢

Ask

78¢

Spread

Reported volume

$314

Family rank

#5 of 15

15 outcomes · Will the Las Vegas pro football team win at least

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Family volume

$337

Orderbook snapshot

72 / 78¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
69¢29
64¢500
62¢500
60¢5.0K
AskSize
78¢5
79¢212
82¢5.5K
84¢500
87¢25

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Las Vegas Pro Football team wins at least 5 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLWINS-27LV-5

SF Signal
SF Index
226.01
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

NFL Team Season Win Total Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXNFLWINS series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

68.4%

IY (No)

452.0%

Adj IY

226%

CRI

3

Overround

5.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

68.4%
452.0%
Adj IY
226%
3
Overround
5.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.