Las Vegas pro football team win at least 4 games this season
4+ wins is priced at 80¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 86¢ bid, 88¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 15 inside Will the Las Vegas pro football team win at least.
Price history
80¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If the Las Vegas Pro Football team wins at least 4 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
4+ wins
Rank
#3 of 15
Leader
1+ wins 88¢
Range
1¢-88¢
Family volume
$107
Identifier
KXNFLWINS-27LV-4
Jun 25, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 12m ago
Implied probability
Bid
86¢
Ask
88¢
Spread
2¢
Reported volume
$71
Family rank
#3 of 15
15 outcomes · Will the Las Vegas pro football team win at least
Closes
Jan 18, 2027
Family volume
$107
Orderbook snapshot
86 / 88¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Las Vegas Pro Football team wins at least 4 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 18, 2027
Identifier
KXNFLWINS-27LV-4
Event family
Will the Las Vegas pro football team win at least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$107
Outcomes
15
Highest price
1+ wins 88¢
Current share
0%
1+ wins
kalshi · KXNFLWINS-27LV-1
2+ wins
kalshi · KXNFLWINS-27LV-2
4+ wins
kalshi · KXNFLWINS-27LV-4
3+ wins
kalshi · KXNFLWINS-27LV-3
5+ wins
kalshi · KXNFLWINS-27LV-5
6+ wins
kalshi · KXNFLWINS-27LV-6
7+ wins
kalshi · KXNFLWINS-27LV-7
8+ wins
kalshi · KXNFLWINS-27LV-8
9+ wins
kalshi · KXNFLWINS-27LV-9
10+ wins
kalshi · KXNFLWINS-27LV-10
11+ wins
kalshi · KXNFLWINS-27LV-11
12+ wins
kalshi · KXNFLWINS-27LV-12
13+ wins
kalshi · KXNFLWINS-27LV-13
14+ wins
kalshi · KXNFLWINS-27LV-14
17 wins
kalshi · KXNFLWINS-27LV-17
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.