SimpleFunctions

$53,500 to 53,999.99 · Bitcoin price range on Jun 26, 2026?: $

$53,500 to 53,999.99 is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 5¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #13 of 16 inside Bitcoin price range on Jun 26, 2026?: $.

Price history

1¢ current

0¢5¢
Jun 25, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 53500-53999.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

$53,500 to 53,999.99

Rank

#13 of 16

Leader

$61,500 to 61,999.99 16¢

Range

1¢-16¢

Family volume

$44K

Identifier

KXBTC-26JUN2617-B53750

Jun 25, 2026, 7:20 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

1¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 7:20 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$2

Family rank

#13 of 16

16 outcomes · Bitcoin price range on Jun 26, 2026?: $

Closes

Jun 26, 2026

Family volume

$44K

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 5¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
5¢394
7¢65
10¢416
20¢468
29¢256

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 53500-53999.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 26, 2026

Identifier

KXBTC-26JUN2617-B53750

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogcrypto

How Bitcoin & Ethereum Crypto 2026 Price Prediction Markets Are Pricing the Next Leg of the Cycle

Deep-dive for crypto investors and traders into Bitcoin and Ethereum 2026 price prediction markets. Learn how BTC/ETH halving base rates, ETF flows, DeFi/L2 growth, and global regulation shape market-implied odds for 2026 price targets.

Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogtech

MCP Servers for Prediction Markets: Connect Claude Code to Kalshi and Polymarket

Connect Claude Code, Cursor, or Cline to Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets via MCP. One-line setup, 18 tools, real-time market data for AI agents.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.