SimpleFunctions

Markets · Category

Health Prediction Markets

Live Kalshi prediction-market contracts classified under Health. This page is the per-category canonical entry — for the full mixed-venue index see /markets, or use /screen for interactive filters.

What this hub contains: every Kalshi contract whose category field equals “Health”. What it does not contain: Polymarket contracts (their venue does not currently classify into this taxonomy) and questions aggregated across multiple contracts (see /odds).

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

Live contracts

11

Venue

Kalshi

Refresh

5 min

Top markets in Health

Sorted by 24-hour USD volume. Each row links to the per-market page with the full indicator stack.

ContractPrice
Pandemic in 2026?[K]
15¢
Will there be more than 8000 measles cases in 2026?: Above 8000[K]
10¢
Will there be more than 4000 measles cases in 2026?: Above 4000[K]
23¢
Will there be more than 6000 measles cases in 2026?: Above 6000[K]
14¢
Will there be a case of polio in the USA this year?[K]
26¢
Will there be more than 10000 measles cases in 2026?: Above 10000[K]
7¢
Will there be a year with zero wild polio cases before 2030?: Before 2030[K]
9¢
What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration?: At least 2000[K]
86¢
What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration?: At least 5000[K]
28¢
Will Trump make IVF free?: Before 2029[K]
14¢
Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 Diabetes before 2033?: Before 2033[K]
35¢

Other categories

Sports(9,842)Elections(9,340)Entertainment(2,951)Economics(2,006)Politics(1,089)Commodities(552)Climate and Weather(439)Mentions(431)

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 11 May 2026 17:53:55 GMT.

Per-question aggregates

Cross-venue questions that bind Kalshi and Polymarket contracts. /odds →

Filter and explore

IY, CRI, τ, RV/VR/IAR cuts on every active market. /screen →

Per-venue view

All markets on a single exchange. /markets/venue/kalshi →