SimpleFunctions

Markets · Category

Social Prediction Markets

Live Kalshi prediction-market contracts classified under Social. This page is the per-category canonical entry — for the full mixed-venue index see /markets, or use /screen for interactive filters.

What this hub contains: every Kalshi contract whose category field equals “Social”. What it does not contain: Polymarket contracts (their venue does not currently classify into this taxonomy) and questions aggregated across multiple contracts (see /odds).

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

Live contracts

61

Venue

Kalshi

Refresh

5 min

Top markets in Social

Sorted by 24-hour USD volume. Each row links to the per-market page with the full indicator stack.

ContractPrice
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Hungary?: Hungary[K]
18¢
Will Taylor Swift meet with Pope Leo XIV before Jan 2027?: Before Jan 1, 2027[K]
Will Patrick Mahomes be a Groomsman for the wedding of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift?: Patrick Mahomes[K]
83¢
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Switzerland?: Switzerland[K]
11¢
Will Gigi Hadid be a Bridesmaid for the wedding of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift?: Gigi Hadid[K]
59¢
Will Selena Gomez be a Bridesmaid for the wedding of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift?: Selena Gomez[K]
65¢
Will Kim Kardashian pass the Bar Exam before 2027?: Yes[K]
11¢
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Turkey?: Turkey[K]
12¢
Will IShowSpeed reach 5 million Twitch followers before Jan 1, 2027?: Before Jan 1, 2027[K]
69¢
Will clavicular have At least 500000 Followers before Jan 1, 2027?: At least 500,000[K]
59¢
Where will Trump and Putin next meet?: Germany[K]
12¢
Will Kumar Ferguson be a Groomsman for the wedding of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift?: Kumar Ferguson[K]
51¢
Will Ashley Avignone be a Bridesmaid for the wedding of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift?: Ashley Avignone[K]
64¢
Will Kylie Kelce be a Bridesmaid for the wedding of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift?: Kylie Kelce[K]
62¢
Will Bill Belichick and Jordon Hudson be married in 2026?: Before 2027[K]
20¢
Will Abigail Anderson (Berard) be a Bridesmaid for the wedding of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift?: Abigail Anderson (Berard)[K]
64¢
Will New York City add a new 3 star restaurant in 2026?[K]
36¢
Will Dantes be banned from Twitch before Jan 2027?: Before Jan 2027[K]
22¢
Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?: MrBeast (Jimmy Donaldson), including entities he controls[K]
36¢
Will clavicular have At least 250000 Followers before Jan 1, 2027?: At least 250,000[K]
97¢

Showing top 20 of 61 markets in this hub.

Other categories

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 11 May 2026 17:53:55 GMT.

Per-question aggregates

Cross-venue questions that bind Kalshi and Polymarket contracts. /odds →

Filter and explore

IY, CRI, τ, RV/VR/IAR cuts on every active market. /screen →

Per-venue view

All markets on a single exchange. /markets/venue/kalshi →