At least 13 · How many billionaires will New York City lose this year?: At least
At least 13 is priced at 8¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 4 inside How many billionaires will New York City lose this year?: At least.
Price history
8¢ current
−4¢Contract brief
If New York City has less than 110 billionaires in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
At least 13
Rank
#3 of 4
Leader
At least 3 29¢
Range
3¢-29¢
Family volume
$8
Identifier
KXNYCBILLIONAIRES-26-110
Jun 21, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 25m ago
Implied probability
Bid
8¢
Ask
13¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$6K
Family rank
#3 of 4
4 outcomes · How many billionaires will New York City lose this year?: At least
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$8
Orderbook snapshot
8 / 13¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If New York City has less than 110 billionaires in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXNYCBILLIONAIRES-26-110
Event family
How many billionaires will New York City lose this year?: At least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$8
Outcomes
4
Highest price
At least 3 29¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.