SimpleFunctions
KalshiDec 31, 2026236 days left

How many billionaires will New York City lose this year?

This contract is priced at 22¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 22¢ bid, 30¢ ask, 8¢ spread.

Implied probability

22¢
$12K volume
$5K liquidity
13573% of event volume

Event outcomes

4

Family volume

$88

Best sibling

At least 3 51¢

Ticker

KXNYCBILLIONAIRES-26-115

Market snapshot

At least 8 in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for How many billionaires will New York City lose this year?. The displayed quote is 22¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $12K. In the How many billionaires will New York City lose this year?: At least family, this outcome ranks #2 of 4 by current quote across 4 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

At least 8

Family rank

#2 of 4

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

22¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 31, 2026

Reported volume

$12K

Family context

4 outcomes · How many billionaires will New York City lose this year?: At least

Quote range

10¢-51¢

Family leader

At least 3 51¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 10m ago

Venue identifier: KXNYCBILLIONAIRES-26-115. Family volume: $88.

Price history

22¢ current

+1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 10, 2026Apr 24, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

22 / 30¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
22¢508
16¢250
10¢16
8¢55
7¢325
AskSize
30¢508
42¢16
54¢16
65¢719
66¢16

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If New York City has less than 115 billionaires in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

KXNYCBILLIONAIRES-26-115

Event family

How many billionaires will New York City lose this year?: At least.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$88

Outcomes

4

Highest price

At least 3 51¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

547.5%

IY (No)

43.6%

Adj IY

174%

CRI

4

Overround

-0.1%

LAS

0.36

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

547.5%
43.6%
Adj IY
174%
4
Overround
-0.1%
LAS
0.36

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