How many international-born players will be drafted in the 1st round
2+ international-born players drafted is priced at 98¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 96¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 5 inside How many international-born players will be drafted in the 1st round.
Price history
98¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If at least 2 international-born players are drafted in the 1st round of the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
2+ international-born players drafted
Rank
#2 of 5
Leader
1+ international-born players drafted 99¢
Range
32¢-99¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXNBADRAFTCAT-26INT-2
Jun 23, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
96¢
Ask
98¢
Spread
2¢
Reported volume
$2K
Family rank
#2 of 5
5 outcomes · How many international-born players will be drafted in the 1st round
Closes
Jul 10, 2026
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
96 / 98¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If at least 2 international-born players are drafted in the 1st round of the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 10, 2026
Identifier
KXNBADRAFTCAT-26INT-2
Event family
How many international-born players will be drafted in the 1st round.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
5
Highest price
1+ international-born players drafted 99¢
Current share
0%
1+ international-born players drafted
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTCAT-26INT-1
2+ international-born players drafted
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTCAT-26INT-2
3+ international-born players drafted
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTCAT-26INT-3
4+ international-born players drafted
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTCAT-26INT-4
5+ international-born players drafted
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTCAT-26INT-5
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 98% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.