SimpleFunctions
KalshiDec 26, 2026231 days left

How many straight weeks will 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' be #1?

This contract is priced at 51¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 39¢ bid, 51¢ ask, 12¢ spread.

Implied probability

51¢
$11 volume
$9 liquidity
17% of event volume

Event outcomes

10

Family volume

$68

Best sibling

More than 2 weeks 60¢

Ticker

KXTOPALBUMRECORDOR-YSPSFAGSIL-3

Market snapshot

More than 3 weeks in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for How many straight weeks will 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' be #1?. The displayed quote is 51¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $11. In the How many straight weeks will 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' be #1?: More than family, this outcome ranks #3 of 10 by current quote across 10 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

More than 3 weeks

Family rank

#3 of 10

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

51¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 26, 2026

Reported volume

$11

Family context

10 outcomes · How many straight weeks will 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' be #1?: More than

Quote range

1¢-84¢

Family leader

More than 1 weeks 84¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 10m ago

Venue identifier: KXTOPALBUMRECORDOR-YSPSFAGSIL-3. Family volume: $68.

Price history

51¢ current

+13¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 14, 2026Apr 28, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

39 / 51¢

Kalshi
12¢ spread
BidSize
39¢250
38¢400
37¢500
26¢400
24¢500
AskSize
51¢119
53¢500
64¢51
65¢500
66¢400

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love by Olivia Rodrigo has had the #1 spot on the Billboard 200 for more than 3 consecutive weeks, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 26, 2026

Identifier

KXTOPALBUMRECORDOR-YSPSFAGSIL-3

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

247.2%

IY (No)

101.1%

Adj IY

124%

CRI

2

Overround

1.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

247.2%
101.1%
Adj IY
124%
2
Overround
1.3%

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