SimpleFunctions

More than 5 weeks · How many straight weeks will 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' be #1?: More than

More than 5 weeks is priced at 29¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 12¢ bid, 27¢ ask, 15¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 10 inside How many straight weeks will 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' be #1?: More than.

Price history

29¢ current

+9¢
0¢25¢
May 29, 2026Jun 24, 2026

Contract brief

If you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love by Olivia Rodrigo has had the #1 spot on the Billboard 200 for more than 5 consecutive weeks, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

More than 5 weeks

Rank

#5 of 10

Leader

More than 1 weeks 99¢

Range

1¢-99¢

Family volume

$77

Identifier

KXTOPALBUMRECORDOR-YSPSFAGSIL-5

Jun 25, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 24m ago

Implied probability

29¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 24m ago

Bid

12¢

Ask

27¢

Spread

15¢

24h volume

$0

Family rank

#5 of 10

10 outcomes · How many straight weeks will 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' be #1?: More than

Closes

Dec 26, 2026

Family volume

$77

Orderbook snapshot

12 / 27¢

Kalshi
15¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.1K
12¢500
3¢46
2¢708
AskSize
27¢249
29¢501
31¢500
41¢500
51¢500

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love by Olivia Rodrigo has had the #1 spot on the Billboard 200 for more than 5 consecutive weeks, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 26, 2026

Identifier

KXTOPALBUMRECORDOR-YSPSFAGSIL-5

SF Signal
SF Index
729.61
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1459.2%

IY (No)

27.1%

Adj IY

730%

CRI

7

Overround

1.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1459.2%
27.1%
Adj IY
730%
7
Overround
1.0%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.