What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch
As It Was is priced at 32¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 30¢ bid, 36¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 14 inside What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch.
Price history
32¢ current
+15¢Contract brief
If As It Was is playable on at least one in-game radio station in Grand Theft Auto VI at launch, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
As It Was
Rank
#10 of 14
Leader
Blinding Lights 43¢
Range
20¢-43¢
Family volume
$122
Identifier
KXGTA6SONGS-30-ASI
Jun 22, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 17m ago
Implied probability
Bid
30¢
Ask
36¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$1K
Family rank
#10 of 14
14 outcomes · What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch
Closes
Jan 1, 2030
Family volume
$122
Orderbook snapshot
30 / 36¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If As It Was is playable on at least one in-game radio station in Grand Theft Auto VI at launch, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2030
Identifier
KXGTA6SONGS-30-ASI
Event family
What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$122
Outcomes
14
Highest price
Blinding Lights 43¢
Current share
0%
Blinding Lights
kalshi · KXGTA6SONGS-30-BLI
Bad and Boujee
kalshi · KXGTA6SONGS-30-BAD
Pepas
kalshi · KXGTA6SONGS-30-PEP
Sicko Mode
kalshi · KXGTA6SONGS-30-SIC
Rockstar
kalshi · KXGTA6SONGS-30-ROC
Despacito
kalshi · KXGTA6SONGS-30-DES
Look at Me!
kalshi · KXGTA6SONGS-30-LOO
God’s Plan
kalshi · KXGTA6SONGS-30-GOD
Mo Bamba
kalshi · KXGTA6SONGS-30-MOB
As It Was
kalshi · KXGTA6SONGS-30-ASI
Mask Off
kalshi · KXGTA6SONGS-30-MAS
XO Tour Llif3
kalshi · KXGTA6SONGS-30-XOT
Stay
kalshi · KXGTA6SONGS-30-STA
Shape of You
kalshi · KXGTA6SONGS-30-SHA
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.