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What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch

Pepas is priced at 45¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 40¢ bid, 46¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 14 inside What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch.

Price history

45¢ current

+12¢
30¢40¢
May 23, 2026Jun 22, 2026

Contract brief

If Pepas is playable on at least one in-game radio station in Grand Theft Auto VI at launch, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Pepas

Rank

#3 of 14

Leader

Blinding Lights 43¢

Range

20¢-43¢

Family volume

$180

Identifier

KXGTA6SONGS-30-PEP

Jun 22, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 6m ago

Implied probability

45¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 22, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 6m ago

Bid

40¢

Ask

46¢

Spread

Reported volume

$268

Family rank

#3 of 14

14 outcomes · What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch

Closes

Jan 1, 2030

Family volume

$180

Orderbook snapshot

40 / 46¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
40¢5
39¢200
37¢15
18¢48
17¢325
AskSize
46¢200
85¢69
86¢451
88¢167
91¢7

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Pepas is playable on at least one in-game radio station in Grand Theft Auto VI at launch, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2030

Identifier

KXGTA6SONGS-30-PEP

SF Signal
SF Index
18.05
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

42.5%

IY (No)

18.9%

Adj IY

18%

CRI

2

Overround

3.6%

LAS

0.15

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

42.5%
18.9%
Adj IY
18%
2
Overround
3.6%
LAS
0.15

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.