What will AeroVironment, Inc. say during their next earnings call
AV Halo is priced at 77¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 69¢ bid, 77¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 12 inside What will AeroVironment, Inc. say during their next earnings call.
Price history
77¢ current
+18¢Contract brief
If AV Halo is said by any AeroVironment, Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next AeroVironment, Inc. earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
AV Halo
Rank
#3 of 12
Leader
Taiwan 73¢
Range
7¢-73¢
Family volume
$20K
Identifier
KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVAV-26JUN29-AV
Jun 27, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 19m ago
Implied probability
Bid
69¢
Ask
77¢
Spread
8¢
24h volume
$3K
Family rank
#3 of 12
12 outcomes · What will AeroVironment, Inc. say during their next earnings call
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$20K
Orderbook snapshot
69 / 77¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If AV Halo is said by any AeroVironment, Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next AeroVironment, Inc. earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVAV-26JUN29-AV
Event family
What will AeroVironment, Inc. say during their next earnings call.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$20K
Outcomes
12
Highest price
Taiwan 73¢
Current share
15%
Taiwan
kalshi · KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVAV-26JUN29-TAIW
Supply Chain
kalshi · KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVAV-26JUN29-SUPP
AV Halo
kalshi · KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVAV-26JUN29-AV
Golden Dome
kalshi · KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVAV-26JUN29-GOLD
Iran
kalshi · KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVAV-26JUN29-IRAN
Robot / Robotic / Robotics
kalshi · KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVAV-26JUN29-ROBO
Headwind
kalshi · KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVAV-26JUN29-HEAD
Backpackable
kalshi · KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVAV-26JUN29-BACK
Orbit
kalshi · KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVAV-26JUN29-ORBI
Tailwind
kalshi · KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVAV-26JUN29-TAIL
NATO
kalshi · KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVAV-26JUN29-NATO
Class Action
kalshi · KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVAV-26JUN29-CLAS
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
US Recession 2025? What 1% Prediction Market Odds Get Right—and Wrong—About the Cycle
Prediction markets put 2025 US recession odds near 1%, while yield curves, economic indicators, and institutional forecasts point to much higher risk. This deep dive compares market pricing to historical base rates, Federal Reserve policy, and forecasting models to see if investors are underpricing recession risk.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
US-Iran War and Oil: What Prediction Markets Are Actually Pricing
What prediction markets are pricing for the US-Iran conflict, oil prices, Hormuz disruption, and recession risk. Causal tree analysis with specific Kalshi and Polymarket contracts.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 77% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.