What will AeroVironment, Inc. say during their next earnings call
Taiwan is priced at 82¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 57¢ bid, 83¢ ask, 26¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 12 inside What will AeroVironment, Inc. say during their next earnings call.
Price history
82¢ current
+31¢Contract brief
If Taiwan is said by any AeroVironment, Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next AeroVironment, Inc. earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Taiwan
Rank
#4 of 12
Leader
Supply Chain 76¢
Range
16¢-76¢
Family volume
$19K
Identifier
KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVAV-26JUN29-TAIW
Jun 27, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 4m ago
Implied probability
Bid
57¢
Ask
83¢
Spread
26¢
24h volume
$48
Family rank
#4 of 12
12 outcomes · What will AeroVironment, Inc. say during their next earnings call
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$19K
Orderbook snapshot
57 / 83¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Taiwan is said by any AeroVironment, Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next AeroVironment, Inc. earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVAV-26JUN29-TAIW
Event family
What will AeroVironment, Inc. say during their next earnings call.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$19K
Outcomes
12
Highest price
Supply Chain 76¢
Current share
0%
Supply Chain
kalshi · KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVAV-26JUN29-SUPP
AV Halo
kalshi · KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVAV-26JUN29-AV
Headwind
kalshi · KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVAV-26JUN29-HEAD
Taiwan
kalshi · KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVAV-26JUN29-TAIW
Iran
kalshi · KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVAV-26JUN29-IRAN
Robot / Robotic / Robotics
kalshi · KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVAV-26JUN29-ROBO
Tailwind
kalshi · KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVAV-26JUN29-TAIL
Golden Dome
kalshi · KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVAV-26JUN29-GOLD
Orbit
kalshi · KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVAV-26JUN29-ORBI
Backpackable
kalshi · KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVAV-26JUN29-BACK
NATO
kalshi · KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVAV-26JUN29-NATO
Class Action
kalshi · KXEARNINGSMENTIONAVAV-26JUN29-CLAS
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 82% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.