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1: Cincinnati / 2: Baltimore / 3: Cleveland / 4: Pittsburgh · What will be the exact order of standings for the AFC North at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: 1

1: Cincinnati / 2: Baltimore / 3: Cleveland / 4: Pittsburgh is priced at 11¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 12 inside What will be the exact order of standings for the AFC North at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: 1.

Price history

11¢ current

+9¢
0¢10¢
Sep 4, 2026Sep 7, 2026

Contract brief

If Cincinnati finishes first, Baltimore finishes second, Cleveland finishes third, and Pittsburgh finishes fourth in the AFC North at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

1: Cincinnati / 2: Baltimore / 3: Cleveland / 4: Pittsburgh

Rank

#10 of 12

Leader

1: Baltimore / 2: Cincinnati / 3: Pittsburgh / 4: Cleveland 24¢

Range

1¢-24¢

Family volume

$125

Identifier

KXNFLDIVISIONORDER-27AFCNORTH-CINBALCLEPIT

Sep 22, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 52m ago

Implied probability

11¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 22, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 52m ago

Bid

6¢

Ask

14¢

Spread

8¢

Reported volume

$309

Family rank

#10 of 12

12 outcomes · What will be the exact order of standings for the AFC North at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: 1

Closes

Feb 1, 2027

Family volume

$125

Orderbook snapshot

6 / 14¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
6¢10
5¢2.0K
AskSize
14¢5
15¢2.0K
30¢91
61¢1.6K
70¢1.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Cincinnati finishes first, Baltimore finishes second, Cleveland finishes third, and Pittsburgh finishes fourth in the AFC North at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 1, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLDIVISIONORDER-27AFCNORTH-CINBALCLEPIT

SF Signal
SF Index
4480.44
Regime
neutral

Event family

What will be the exact order of standings for the AFC North at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: 1.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$125

Outcomes

12

Highest price

1: Baltimore / 2: Cincinnati / 3: Pittsburgh / 4: Cleveland 24¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

8960.9%

IY (No)

8.6%

Adj IY

4480%

CRI

32

Overround

0.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

8960.9%
8.6%
Adj IY
4480%
32
Overround
0.1%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.