Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 20 Gwei before 2027?
This contract is priced at 43¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 33¢ bid, 53¢ ask, 20¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
6
Family volume
$12K
Best sibling
40 Gwei 16¢
Ticker
0x85d9eadb…cacc
Price history
43¢ current
+28¢Orderbook snapshot
33 / 53¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the average monthly Ethereum gas price is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the dashboard available at https://dune.com/nibty/eth-gas-prices, using the “mean_gas” value displayed in the “Gas Prices Monthly Average” tab. This market will resolve as soon as a finalized average monthly gas price shown on the dashboard is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title, or once the value for December 2026 is finalized and no earlier finalized monthly value has met or exceeded that threshold. A monthly value will be considered finalized once the next monthly data point is published. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable crypto data sources.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
0x85d9eadb…cacc
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on kalshi at 54¢, -11¢ versus this page.
Event family
What will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit before 2027.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$12K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
15 Gwei 53¢
Current share
29%
20 Gwei
polymarket · 0x85d9eadb263a3688205737d1c624458de2f9ef2cc5c1cfbb765babad6bfdcacc
40 Gwei
polymarket · 0xb5d84b0d831b64feb65dbd8f8b6ff92ac739cfdd13676770d2b13087f1a0d386
25 Gwei
polymarket · 0x9ea0030337e6416cfbd5e9a52ffb4c80575953b45a52bc513f2d7ecbe299d5f2
15 Gwei
polymarket · 0xe32a73414fb99afa84e4a56141e20dd4f3d3e1a3d1d266bb0360ac7e1c0c6063
10 Gwei
polymarket · 0x9cd09f37da8da9995d5bdba7b386b89e09dd5dcfed0f001f1ce5dfa7d3cfd76a
5 Gwei
polymarket · 0xa6a9daa0a7576efdf9edef5095c120059c80f0ddf6a5af75e0b000a646e0d16e
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 43% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
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