SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJan 1, 2027242 days left

Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 15 Gwei before 2027?

This contract is priced at 53¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 51¢ bid, 54¢ ask, 3¢ spread.

Implied probability

53¢
$2K volume
$433 liquidity
17% of event volume

Event outcomes

6

Family volume

$12K

Best sibling

20 Gwei 43¢

Ticker

0xe32a7341…6063

Price history

53¢ current

+16¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 22, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

51 / 54¢

Polymarket
3¢ spread
BidSize
100¢70
51¢20
39¢28
38¢47
18¢6
15¢60
12¢50
10¢166
AskSize
54¢6
56¢66
64¢162
72¢39
73¢33
81¢162
84¢550
88¢9

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the average monthly Ethereum gas price is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the dashboard available at https://dune.com/nibty/eth-gas-prices, using the “mean_gas” value displayed in the “Gas Prices Monthly Average” tab. This market will resolve as soon as a finalized average monthly gas price shown on the dashboard is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title, or once the value for December 2026 is finalized and no earlier finalized monthly value has met or exceeded that threshold. A monthly value will be considered finalized once the next monthly data point is published. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable crypto data sources.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

0xe32a7341…6063

Event family

What will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit before 2027.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$12K

Outcomes

6

Highest price

15 Gwei 53¢

Current share

17%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

133.5%

IY (No)

169.8%

Adj IY

170%

CRI

1

RV

2138%

VR

14.40

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

133.5%
169.8%
Adj IY
170%
1
RV
2138%
VR
14.40
IAR
7.2/h
Overround
1.2%

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