before October · When will Beam Therapeutics Inc. submit a BLA for Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) to the FDA?: before
before October is priced at 32¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 31¢ bid, 40¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 6 inside When will Beam Therapeutics Inc. submit a BLA for Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) to the FDA?: before.
Price history
32¢ current
+7¢Contract brief
If Beam Therapeutics Inc. submits a BLA for Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) to the FDA before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
before October
Rank
#5 of 6
Leader
before April 2027 65¢
Range
20¢-65¢
Family volume
$8
Identifier
KXNEWDRUGAPPBEAM-RIST-26OCT01
Jun 21, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 22m ago
Implied probability
Bid
31¢
Ask
40¢
Spread
9¢
Reported volume
$232
Family rank
#5 of 6
6 outcomes · When will Beam Therapeutics Inc. submit a BLA for Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) to the FDA?: before
Closes
Oct 1, 2026
Family volume
$8
Orderbook snapshot
31 / 40¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Beam Therapeutics Inc. submits a BLA for Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) to the FDA before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 1, 2026
Identifier
KXNEWDRUGAPPBEAM-RIST-26OCT01
Event family
When will Beam Therapeutics Inc. submit a BLA for Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) to the FDA?: before.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$8
Outcomes
6
Highest price
before April 2027 65¢
Current share
0%
before April 2027
kalshi · KXNEWDRUGAPPBEAM-RIST-27APR01
before 2027
kalshi · KXNEWDRUGAPPBEAM-RIST-27JAN01
before December
kalshi · KXNEWDRUGAPPBEAM-RIST-26DEC01
before November
kalshi · KXNEWDRUGAPPBEAM-RIST-26NOV01
before October
kalshi · KXNEWDRUGAPPBEAM-RIST-26OCT01
before September
kalshi · KXNEWDRUGAPPBEAM-RIST-26SEP01
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.568
Observability
high
Event type
data_release
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.