Which company will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series to the public
Amazon is priced at 11¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 19¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 8 inside Which company will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series to the public.
Price history
11¢ current
−7¢Contract brief
If Amazon releases a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Amazon
Rank
#1 of 8
Leader
Amazon 11¢
Range
2¢-11¢
Family volume
$45
Identifier
KXAISTREAMSERIES-27-AMA
Jun 24, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 5m ago
Implied probability
Bid
11¢
Ask
19¢
Spread
8¢
24h volume
$1
Family rank
#1 of 8
8 outcomes · Which company will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series to the public
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$45
Orderbook snapshot
11 / 19¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Amazon releases a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXAISTREAMSERIES-27-AMA
Event family
Which company will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series to the public.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$45
Outcomes
8
Highest price
Amazon 11¢
Current share
2%
Amazon
kalshi · KXAISTREAMSERIES-27-AMA
Disney
kalshi · KXAISTREAMSERIES-27-DIS
Netflix
kalshi · KXAISTREAMSERIES-27-NET
Apple
kalshi · KXAISTREAMSERIES-27-APP
Max
kalshi · KXAISTREAMSERIES-27-MAX
Paramount+
kalshi · KXAISTREAMSERIES-27-PAR
Peacock
kalshi · KXAISTREAMSERIES-27-PEA
Hulu
kalshi · KXAISTREAMSERIES-27-HUL
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
cultural
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 11% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.