SimpleFunctions

Amber Glenn · KXDWTSFINALS-31DEC26

Amber Glenn is priced at 86¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 85¢ bid, 86¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 11 inside KXDWTSFINALS-31DEC26.

Price history

86¢ current

85¢90¢
Oct 11, 2026Oct 11, 2026

Contract brief

If Amber Glenn qualifies for the finale of Dancing with the Stars Season 35 after market issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 10am EST, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Amber Glenn

Rank

#3 of 11

Leader

Ezra Frech 96¢

Range

4¢-96¢

Family volume

$5K

Identifier

KXDWTSFINALS-31DEC26-AGLE

Oct 11, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 7h ago

Implied probability

86¢
Latest venue quote
Oct 11, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 7h ago

Bid

85¢

Ask

86¢

Spread

1¢

24h volume

$213

Family rank

#3 of 11

11 outcomes · KXDWTSFINALS-31DEC26

Closes

Jan 7, 2027

Family volume

$5K

Orderbook snapshot

85 / 86¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
85¢3.2K
82¢200
71¢13
70¢1.2K
69¢486
AskSize
86¢1.9K
92¢1.0K
93¢4
94¢6
95¢61

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Amber Glenn qualifies for the finale of Dancing with the Stars Season 35 after market issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 10am EST, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 7, 2027

Identifier

KXDWTSFINALS-31DEC26-AGLE

SF Signal
SF Index
1176.11
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

73.3%

IY (No)

2352.2%

Adj IY

1176%

CRI

6

Overround

4.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

73.3%
2352.2%
Adj IY
1176%
6
Overround
4.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.