SimpleFunctions

Jenna Dewan · KXDWTSFINALS-31DEC26

Jenna Dewan is priced at 53¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 52¢ bid, 53¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 11 inside KXDWTSFINALS-31DEC26.

Price history

53¢ current

−2¢
50¢60¢
Sep 24, 2026Oct 8, 2026

Contract brief

If Jenna Dewan qualifies for the finale of Dancing with the Stars Season 35 after market issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 10am EST, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Jenna Dewan

Rank

#5 of 11

Leader

Ezra Frech 96¢

Range

4¢-96¢

Family volume

$2K

Identifier

KXDWTSFINALS-31DEC26-JDEW

Oct 9, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 8h ago

Implied probability

53¢
Latest venue quote
Oct 9, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 8h ago

Bid

52¢

Ask

53¢

Spread

1¢

24h volume

$68

Family rank

#5 of 11

11 outcomes · KXDWTSFINALS-31DEC26

Closes

Jan 7, 2027

Family volume

$2K

Orderbook snapshot

52 / 53¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
52¢1.8K
51¢1.0K
50¢100
48¢202
43¢800
AskSize
53¢481
56¢10
65¢2
74¢7
75¢78

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Jenna Dewan qualifies for the finale of Dancing with the Stars Season 35 after market issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 10am EST, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 7, 2027

Identifier

KXDWTSFINALS-31DEC26-JDEW

SF Signal
SF Index
215.62
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

374.6%

IY (No)

439.7%

Adj IY

216%

CRI

1

Overround

4.2%

LAS

0.02

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

374.6%
439.7%
Adj IY
216%
1
Overround
4.2%
LAS
0.02

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.