Harry Shum Jr · KXDWTSFINALS-31DEC26
Harry Shum Jr. is priced at 87¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 87¢ bid, 88¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 11 inside KXDWTSFINALS-31DEC26.
Price history
87¢ current
+42¢Contract brief
If Harry Shum Jr. qualifies for the finale of Dancing with the Stars Season 35 after market issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 10am EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Harry Shum Jr.
Rank
#2 of 11
Leader
Ezra Frech 96¢
Range
4¢-96¢
Family volume
$5K
Identifier
KXDWTSFINALS-31DEC26-HSHU
Oct 11, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 7h ago
Implied probability
Bid
87¢
Ask
88¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$51
Family rank
#2 of 11
11 outcomes · KXDWTSFINALS-31DEC26
Closes
Jan 7, 2027
Family volume
$5K
Orderbook snapshot
87 / 88¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Harry Shum Jr. qualifies for the finale of Dancing with the Stars Season 35 after market issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 10am EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 7, 2027
Identifier
KXDWTSFINALS-31DEC26-HSHU
Event family
KXDWTSFINALS-31DEC26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$5K
Outcomes
11
Highest price
Ezra Frech 96¢
Current share
1%
Ezra Frech
kalshi · KXDWTSFINALS-31DEC26-EFRE
Harry Shum Jr.
kalshi · KXDWTSFINALS-31DEC26-HSHU
Amber Glenn
kalshi · KXDWTSFINALS-31DEC26-AGLE
Maura Higgins
kalshi · KXDWTSFINALS-31DEC26-MHIG
Jenna Dewan
kalshi · KXDWTSFINALS-31DEC26-JDEW
Connor Wood
kalshi · KXDWTSFINALS-31DEC26-CWOO
Julia Stiles
kalshi · KXDWTSFINALS-31DEC26-JSTIL
Guillermo Rodriguez
kalshi · KXDWTSFINALS-31DEC26-GROD
Tatyana Ali
kalshi · KXDWTSFINALS-31DEC26-TAT
Tyler Cameron
kalshi · KXDWTSFINALS-31DEC26-TCAM
Jackson Olson
kalshi · KXDWTSFINALS-31DEC26-JOLS
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.