Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the F1 Drivers Championship?
Prediction markets currently give a 34% probability that Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the F1 Drivers Championship?. This contract trades at 34¢ on Kalshi, closing December 22, 2026. Antonelli's championship odds have tightened 2 cents over the past week to 34¢, reflecting modest confidence in the Ferrari driver's prospects with 250 days until the 2026 season concludes.
Analysis
Antonelli's championship odds have tightened 2 cents over the past week to 34¢, reflecting modest confidence in the Ferrari driver's prospects with 250 days until the 2026 season concludes. The Yes side offers an exceptionally high 296.9% implied yield compared to just 72% for No, suggesting the market may be underpricing a longshot bet, though the $262k open interest and tight 1¢ spread indicate reasonable liquidity for a niche F1 contract. The neutral regime score and low cliff risk suggest stable pricing without imminent catalysts, making this suitable for patient contrarian bettors willing to hold through the full season.
Resolution rules
If Andrea Kimi Antonelli wins the F1 Drivers Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXF1-26-KA yes 100