Will Annie Kuster be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in New Hampshire?
Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that Will Annie Kuster be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in New Hampshire?. This contract trades at 5¢ on Kalshi, closing November 3, 2026. This market is extremely illiquid with only $2 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 5¢ price potentially unreliable as a true probability estimate.
Analysis
This market is extremely illiquid with only $2 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 5¢ price potentially unreliable as a true probability estimate. The massive 3456% implied yield on the Yes side reflects the extreme mispricing typical of thin markets rather than genuine edge, while the 4¢ spread represents a 80% bid-ask range. With 201 days to expiration and a neutral regime, this contract appears abandoned by traders and should be approached with caution due to execution risk.
Resolution rules
If Annie Kuster wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Class II New Hampshire Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXSENATENHD-26-AKUS yes 100