Average gas prices below $3.20 by Dec 31, 2026
Below $3.20 is priced at 55¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 44¢ bid, 66¢ ask, 22¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 10 inside Will average gas prices be below $.
Price history
55¢ current
+24¢Contract brief
If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is less than $3.20 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Below $3.20
Rank
#2 of 10
Leader
Below $3.40 51¢
Range
1¢-51¢
Family volume
$912
Identifier
KXAAAGASMIN-26DEC31-3.20
Jun 26, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 6m ago
Implied probability
Bid
44¢
Ask
66¢
Spread
22¢
24h volume
$6
Family rank
#2 of 10
10 outcomes · Will average gas prices be below $
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$912
Orderbook snapshot
44 / 66¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is less than $3.20 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXAAAGASMIN-26DEC31-3.20
Event family
Will average gas prices be below $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$912
Outcomes
10
Highest price
Below $3.40 51¢
Current share
1%
Below $3.40
kalshi · KXAAAGASMIN-26DEC31-3.40
Below $3.20
kalshi · KXAAAGASMIN-26DEC31-3.20
Below $3.00
kalshi · KXAAAGASMIN-26DEC31-3.00
Below $3.60
kalshi · KXAAAGASMIN-26DEC31-3.60
Below $3.80
kalshi · KXAAAGASMIN-26DEC31-3.80
Below $2.80
kalshi · KXAAAGASMIN-26DEC31-2.80
Below $2.20
kalshi · KXAAAGASMIN-26DEC31-2.20
Below $2.00
kalshi · KXAAAGASMIN-26DEC31-2.00
Below $2.40
kalshi · KXAAAGASMIN-26DEC31-2.40
Below $2.60
kalshi · KXAAAGASMIN-26DEC31-2.60
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.442
Observability
low
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
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Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 55% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.