SimpleFunctions

Bad Bunny · KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01

Bad Bunny is priced at 13¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 12¢ bid, 23¢ ask, 11¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 12 inside KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01.

Price history

13¢ current

+12¢
0¢10¢
May 28, 2026May 30, 2026

Contract brief

If Bad Bunny performs at the Las Vegas Sphere in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Bad Bunny

Rank

#8 of 12

Leader

Coldplay 29¢

Range

4¢-29¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01-BAD

Jun 26, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 19m ago

Implied probability

13¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 26, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 19m ago

Bid

12¢

Ask

23¢

Spread

11¢

Reported volume

$6K

Family rank

#8 of 12

12 outcomes · KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01

Closes

Jan 8, 2028

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

12 / 23¢

Kalshi
11¢ spread
BidSize
100¢450
12¢1.0K
3¢45
2¢1.1K
AskSize
23¢100
24¢1.0K
91¢75
92¢5.0K
99¢450

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Bad Bunny performs at the Las Vegas Sphere in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 8, 2028

Identifier

KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01-BAD

SF Signal
SF Index
238.51
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

477.0%

IY (No)

8.9%

Adj IY

239%

CRI

7

Overround

0.7%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

477.0%
8.9%
Adj IY
239%
7
Overround
0.7%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.