Travis Scott · KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01
Travis Scott is priced at 19¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 7¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 12 inside KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01.
Price history
19¢ current
+16¢Contract brief
If Travis Scott performs at the Las Vegas Sphere in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Travis Scott
Rank
#9 of 12
Leader
Coldplay 25¢
Range
3¢-25¢
Family volume
$25
Identifier
KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01-TRA
Sep 24, 2026, 2:38 PM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
7¢
Ask
14¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$5K
Family rank
#9 of 12
12 outcomes · KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01
Closes
Jan 8, 2028
Family volume
$25
Orderbook snapshot
7 / 14¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Travis Scott performs at the Las Vegas Sphere in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 8, 2028
Identifier
KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01-TRA
Event family
KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$25
Outcomes
12
Highest price
Coldplay 25¢
Current share
0%
Coldplay
kalshi · KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01-COL
Spice Girls
kalshi · KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01-SPI
Beyoncé
kalshi · KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01-BEY
Drake
kalshi · KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01-DRA
Taylor Swift
kalshi · KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01-TAY
U2
kalshi · KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01-U2
The Weeknd
kalshi · KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01-WEE
Bad Bunny
kalshi · KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01-BAD
Travis Scott
kalshi · KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01-TRA
Kanye West (Ye)
kalshi · KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01-YE
Jay-Z
kalshi · KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01-JAY
Fred again..
kalshi · KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01-FRE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
cultural
Full indicator table
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 19% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.