Drake · KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01
Drake is priced at 25¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 16¢ bid, 27¢ ask, 11¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 12 inside KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01.
Price history
25¢ current
+8¢Contract brief
If Drake performs at the Las Vegas Sphere in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Drake
Rank
#4 of 12
Leader
Coldplay 29¢
Range
4¢-29¢
Family volume
$8
Identifier
KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01-DRA
Jun 23, 2026, 2:38 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
16¢
Ask
27¢
Spread
11¢
Reported volume
$3K
Family rank
#4 of 12
12 outcomes · KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01
Closes
Jan 8, 2028
Family volume
$8
Orderbook snapshot
16 / 27¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Drake performs at the Las Vegas Sphere in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 8, 2028
Identifier
KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01-DRA
Event family
KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$8
Outcomes
12
Highest price
Coldplay 29¢
Current share
0%
Coldplay
kalshi · KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01-COL
Spice Girls
kalshi · KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01-SPI
Beyoncé
kalshi · KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01-BEY
Drake
kalshi · KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01-DRA
U2
kalshi · KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01-U2
Taylor Swift
kalshi · KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01-TAY
The Weeknd
kalshi · KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01-WEE
Bad Bunny
kalshi · KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01-BAD
Travis Scott
kalshi · KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01-TRA
Jay-Z
kalshi · KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01-JAY
Fred again..
kalshi · KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01-FRE
Kanye West (Ye)
kalshi · KXVENUEPERFORMANCESPHERE-28JAN01-YE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 25% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.