Will Baltimore win at least 80 games this season?
This contract is priced at 58¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 40¢ bid, 55¢ ask, 15¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
7
Family volume
$3K
Best sibling
85+ wins 16¢
Ticker
KXMLBWINS-BAL-26-T80
Market snapshot
80+ wins in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Baltimore win at least 80 games this season?. The displayed quote is 58¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $3K. In the Will Baltimore win at least family, this outcome ranks #4 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 9:23 PM UTC.
Outcome
80+ wins
Family rank
#4 of 7
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
58¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Nov 8, 2026
24h volume
$3K
Family context
7 outcomes · Will Baltimore win at least
Quote range
3¢-82¢
Family leader
65+ wins 82¢
Last updated
May 11, 2026, 9:23 PM UTC · 5m ago
Venue identifier: KXMLBWINS-BAL-26-T80. Family volume: $3K.
Price history
58¢ current
+4¢Orderbook snapshot
40 / 55¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Baltimore has 80+ wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 8, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBWINS-BAL-26-T80
Event family
Will Baltimore win at least.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
7
Highest price
65+ wins 82¢
Current share
96%
80+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-BAL-26-T80
85+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-BAL-26-T85
65+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-BAL-26-T65
70+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-BAL-26-T70
75+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-BAL-26-T75
90+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-BAL-26-T90
95+ wins
kalshi · KXMLBWINS-BAL-26-T95
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
Read 58% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.