Benedict Cumberbatch to perform as Doctor Strange in Avengers
Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange? is priced at 88¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 90¢ bid, 93¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY.
Price history
88¢ current
+12¢Contract brief
If Benedict Cumberbatch performs / is announced as Doctor Strange in Avengers: Doomsday, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?
Rank
#3 of 16
Leader
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? 94¢
Range
4¢-94¢
Family volume
$9K
Identifier
KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-BEN
Aug 25, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 14m ago
Implied probability
Bid
90¢
Ask
93¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$389
Family rank
#3 of 16
16 outcomes · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY
Closes
Jan 1, 2028
Family volume
$9K
Orderbook snapshot
90 / 93¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Benedict Cumberbatch performs / is announced as Doctor Strange in Avengers: Doomsday, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2028
Identifier
KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-BEN
Event family
KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$9K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? 94¢
Current share
4%
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-TOB
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-RYA
Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-BEN
Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-TEY
Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-HAI
Benedict Wong as Wong?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-BENE
Tom Holland as Spider-Man?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-TOM
Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-GWY
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-BRI
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-JONF
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-MAR
Halle Berry as Storm?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-HAL
Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-DON
Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-AND
Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-EVA
Jonathan Majors as Kang?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-JON
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
cultural
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.