Jonathan Majors to perform as Kang in Avengers
Jonathan Majors as Kang? is priced at 10¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #16 of 16 inside KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY.
Price history
10¢ current
Contract brief
If Jonathan Majors performs / is announced as Kang in Avengers: Doomsday, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Jonathan Majors as Kang?
Rank
#16 of 16
Leader
Kathryn Newton as Cassie Lang? 92¢
Range
8¢-92¢
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-JON
Jun 25, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 26m ago
Implied probability
Bid
8¢
Ask
10¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$128
Family rank
#16 of 16
16 outcomes · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY
Closes
Jan 1, 2028
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
8 / 10¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Jonathan Majors performs / is announced as Kang in Avengers: Doomsday, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2028
Identifier
KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-JON
Event family
KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Kathryn Newton as Cassie Lang? 92¢
Current share
4%
Kathryn Newton as Cassie Lang?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-KET
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-HUG
Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-BEN
Benedict Wong as Wong?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-BENE
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-TOB
Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-IMA
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-BRI
Tom Holland as Spider-Man?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-TOM
Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-GWY
Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-DON
Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-XOC
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-MAR
Halle Berry as Storm?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-HAL
Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-EVA
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-JONF
Jonathan Majors as Kang?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-JON
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
medium
Event type
cultural
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.